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  • NZD/USD Forecast – New Zealand Dollar Surging Higher Vs US Dollar

    NZD/USD Forecast – New Zealand Dollar Surging Higher Vs US Dollar

    • – The New Zealand Dollar is placed nicely above the 0.6600 support against the US Dollar.
    • – There is a crucial bullish trend line in place with support at 0.6605 on the hourly chart of the NZD/USD pair.
    • – Recently in New Zealand, the Gross Domestic Product for Q2 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand.
    • – The outcome was above the forecast of 0.8% as there was a rise in the GDP by 1% (QoQ).

    New Zealand’s Gross Domestic Product

    Recently in New Zealand, the Gross Domestic Product for Q2 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand. The market was positioned for a rise of around 0.8% in the GDP compared with the previous quarter.

     

    The actual result was above the forecast of 0.8% as there was a rise in the GDP by 1%. Looking at the yearly change, there was a rise of around 2.8% in Q2 2018, more than the forecast of 2.5% and better than the last revised reading of 2.6%.

     

    The NZD/USD pair made a nice upside move and it is currently placed nicely above the 0.6600 and 0.6610 support levels.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis

    The New Zealand Dollar started a decent upside move from the $0.6530 swing low against the US Dollar. The NZD/USD pair gained traction, traded above the 0.6600 resistance, and also settled above the 100 hourly simple moving average.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis New Zealand Dollar US Dollar

     

    The pair even broke the 0.6625 and 0.6630 resistance levels. The recent high was 0.6651 before the pair started trading in a range. An initial support is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the 0.6600 low to 0.6651 high.

     

    During the rise, the pair broke a connecting bearish trend line at 0.6620, which could now act as a support. Moreover, there is a crucial bullish trend line in place with support at 0.6605 on the hourly chart of the NZD/USD pair.

     

    An intermediate support is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the 0.6600 low to 0.6651 high at 0.6626. Therefore, dips remains supported above the 0.6600 level in the near term. On the upside, a break above 0.6650 could push the pair towards 0.6675.

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  • NZD/USD Forecast – New Zealand Dollar Could Decline Further Vs US Dollar

    NZD/USD Forecast – New Zealand Dollar Could Decline Further Vs US Dollar

    • – The New Zealand Dollar faced a strong resistance near 0.6725 and declined against the US Dollar.
    • – There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 0.6685 on the hourly chart of the NZD/USD pair.
    • – Recently in New Zealand, the Business Confidence for August 2018 was released by the ANZ.
    • – The outcome was below the forecast of -48.0 as there was a decline in the index from -44.9 to -50.3.

    New Zealand’s ANZ Business Confidence

    Recently in New Zealand, the Business Confidence for August 2018 was released by the ANZ. The market was positioned for a decline from the last reading of -44.9 to -48.0 in August 2018.

     

    The actual result was below the forecast of -48.0 as there was a decline in the index from -44.9 to -50.3. However, the ANZ business outlook for August 2018 came in at 3.8%, similar to the last reading. The report added that:

     

    Manufacturing is now the least confident sector likely a lagged impact from construction sector woes. The services sector is the most optimistic.

     

    The NZD/USD pair was under a lot of pressure below the 0.6700 support and it seems like it could decline further in the near term.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis

    The New Zealand Dollar traded above the 0.6700 level recently against the US Dollar. The NZD/USD pair even traded above the 0.6720 level, but it faced a strong resistance near the 0.6725 level, which resulting in a bearish reaction.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis New Zealand Dollar US Dollar

     

    The pair started a downside move and broke the 50% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the 0.6619 low to 0.6728 high. Moreover, there was a close below the 0.6700 support and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

     

    During the decline, there was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 0.6685 on the hourly chart of the NZD/USD pair. The pair is currently trading near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the 0.6619 low to 0.6728 high.

     

    If the pair fails to stay above the 0.6660 level, it could decline further towards the 0.6650 support, below which there is a risk of more losses towards the 0.6620 level in the near term. On the upside, resistances are seen near 0.6675 and the 100 hourly SMA.

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  • NZD/USD Forecast – New Zealand Dollar Accelerating Higher Vs US Dollar

    NZD/USD Forecast – New Zealand Dollar Accelerating Higher Vs US Dollar

    • – The New Zealand Dollar started a decent upside move from the 0.7200-0.7210 support against the US Dollar.
    • – There is a crucial bullish trend line in place with support at 0.7325 on the hourly chart of the NZD/USD pair.
    • – Recently in New Zealand, the Visitor Arrivals for July 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand.
    • – The outcome was above the forecast of -0.5% as there was a rise in the arrivals by 1.4% (YoY).

    New Zealand’s Visitors Arrivals

    Recently in New Zealand, the Visitor Arrivals for July 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand. The market was positioned for a decline of 0.5% in July 2018 compared with the same month a year ago.

     

    The actual result was above the forecast of -0.5% as there was a rise in the arrivals by 1.4% (YoY). This was way above the last decrease of 7.8%. The report added that:

     

    New Zealand residents departed on 2.96 million trips overseas, up 186,600 (7 percent), permanent and long-term arrivals were 129,000, down 3,100 (2 percent), permanent and long-term departures were 65,200, up 5,500 (9 percent), and the net gain in migrants was 63,800, down 8,600 from the July 2017 year.

     

    The NZD/USD pair remains in a decent uptrend and it could continue to move higher towards the 0.6680 and 0.6700 levels in the near term.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis

    The New Zealand Dollar formed a decent support near the 0.6610 level against the US Dollar. The NZD/USD pair started an upside move and traded above the 0.6640 resistance with a close above the 100 hourly simple moving average.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis New Zealand  Dollar US Dollar

     

    The pair broke the 0.6640 resistance and also cleared the 1.236 Fib extension level of the last decline from the 0.6638 high to 0.6610 low. The current price action is positive and it seems like the pair could accelerate above the 0.6660 level in the near term.

     

    The pair is currently testing the 1.618 Fib extension level of the last decline from the 0.6638 high to 0.6610 low. A break and push above the 0.6655 level may perhaps open the doors for more gains towards 0.6680 and 0.6700.

     

    Overall, the pair is gaining traction and dips towards the 0.6640 and 0.6620 levels remain supported in the near term. Below 0.6620, the pair could test the 0.6610 low.

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  • NZD/USD Forecast – Can New Zealand Dollar Recover Above 0.6600 Vs US Dollar?

    NZD/USD Forecast – Can New Zealand Dollar Recover Above 0.6600 Vs US Dollar?

    • – The New Zealand Dollar declined heavily and broke the 0.6620 support area against the US Dollar.
    • – There is a major declining channel formed with resistance near 0.6590 on the hourly chart of the NZDUSD pair.
    • – Today in New Zealand, the Food Price Index (FPI) for July 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand.
    • – The outcome was above the market forecast of +0.6% as there was a rise in the index by 0.7%.

     

    New Zealand Food Price Index (FPI)

    Today in New Zealand, the Food Price Index (FPI) for July 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand. The market was looking for a rise of around 0.6% in the FPI in July 2018, more than the last +0.5%.

     

    The actual result was above the market forecast of +0.6% as there was a rise in the index by 0.7%. The report added that:

     

    Vegetable prices rose 9.2 percent in the month, with higher prices for fresh lettuce (up 77 percent), tomatoes (up 30 percent), and broccoli (up 24 percent) making the largest contributions. After adjusting for seasonal effects, vegetable prices rose 3.8 percent.

     

    The NZD/USD pair is currently attempting a recovery, but it won’t be easy for buyers to clear the 0.6590 and 0.6600 resistance levels.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis

    The New Zealand Dollar was under a lot of pressure this past week as it fell sharply from the 0.6740 swing high against the US Dollar. The NZD/USD pair declined, broke many support levels like 0.6680, 0.6620 and 0.6600, and also settled below the 100 hourly simple moving average.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis New Zealand Dollar US Dollar

     

    The pair traded as low as 0.6561 and it is currently correcting higher. It broke the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the 0.6616 high to 0.6561 low. However, the upside move was capped by the 0.6590-0.6600 resistance zone.

     

    Moreover, the 50% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the 0.6616 high to 0.6561 low acted as a resistance. More importantly, there is a major declining channel formed with resistance near 0.6590 on the hourly chart of the NZDUSD pair.

     

    Therefore, the pair must break the 0.6590 and 0.6600 resistance levels to stage a decent recovery in the near term. On the downside, a break below the 0.6560 support could push NZD/USD towards 0.6525.

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  • NZD/USD Forecast – New Zealand Dollar Could Extend Declines Vs US Dollar

    NZD/USD Forecast – New Zealand Dollar Could Extend Declines Vs US Dollar

    • – The New Zealand Dollar failed to settle above 0.6830 and declined against the US Dollar.
    • – There is a major bearish trend line in place with resistance near 0.6825 on the hourly chart of the NZDUSD pair.
    • – Today in New Zealand, the Unemployment Rate for Q2 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand.
    • – The outcome was below the market forecast of +4.4% as there was a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.5%.

     

    New Zealand Unemployment Rate

    Today in New Zealand, the Unemployment Rate for Q2 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand. The market was looking for no change in the unemployment rate from the last reading of 4.4%.

     

    The actual result was below the market forecast of +4.4% as there was a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.5%. Looking at the Employment Change, it came in at 0.5%, better than the forecast of 0.4%, but less than the last 0.6%. The report added that:

     

    The unemployment rate for men rose to 4.3 percent (up 0.3 percentage points), while for women it fell to 4.7 percent (down 0.2 percentage points). The underutilisation rate for men rose to 10.0 percent (up 0.6 percentage points), while for women, it fell to 14.3 percent (down 0.3 percentage points).

     

    The NZD/USD pair is currently under pressure and it seems like the pair may perhaps decline further towards the 0.6780 level in the near term.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis

    The New Zealand Dollar moved higher nicely above the 0.6800 level against the US Dollar. The NZD/USD pair even broke the 0.6820 resistance and settled above the 100 hourly simple moving average, but it failed near the 0.7830 level.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis New Zealand Dollar US Dollar

     

    The pair declined and broke a connecting bullish trend line with support at 0.6815 on the hourly chart. It also broke the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the 0.6762 low to 0.6834 high, and closed back below the 100 hourly SMA.

     

    It seems like the pair is likely to decline further below the 0.6800 support. The next support is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the 0.6762 low to 0.6834 high at 0.6789. Below this, the pair may well decline back towards the 0.6760 level.

     

    If it moves higher, it is likely to face resistances near 0.6810, 100 hourly SMA, and a major bearish trend line in place with resistance near 0.6825 on the hourly chart.

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  • NZD/USD Forecast – New Zealand Dollar Surging Higher Vs US Dollar

    NZD/USD Forecast – New Zealand Dollar Surging Higher Vs US Dollar

    • – The New Zealand Dollar found a strong buying interest near 0.6755 against the US Dollar.
    • – There was a break above a crucial bearish trend line with resistance near 0.6760 on the hourly chart of the NZDUSD pair.
    • – Today in New Zealand, the Consumer Price Index for Q2 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand.
    • – The outcome was below the market forecast of +0.5% (QoQ) as there was a rise in the CPI by 0.4%.

     

    New Zealand Consumer Price Index

    Today in New Zealand, the Consumer Price Index for Q2 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand. The market was looking for a rise of around 0.5% in the CPI in Q2 2018 compared with the previous quarter.

     

    The actual result was below the market forecast of +0.5% (QoQ) as there was a rise in the CPI by 0.4%. Looking at the yearly change, there was a rise of 1.5% in the CPI, which was less than the forecast of 1.6%, but a lot more than the last 1.1%. The report added that:

     

    The largest contributor to inflation was higher prices for housing and household utilities, up 0.9 percent this quarter, and 3.1 percent in the year to June 2018.

     

    The NZD/USD pair gained bullish momentum above the 0.6800 level and it seems like the pair may accelerate gains in the near term.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis

    The New Zealand Dollar formed a solid support base above the 0.6750 level against the US Dollar. The NZD/USD jumped sharply higher, broke the 0.6760, 0.6780 and 0.6800 resistances, and settled above the 100 hourly simple moving average.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis New Zealand Dollar US Dollar

     

    During the upside move, there was a break above a crucial bearish trend line with resistance near 0.6760 on the hourly chart of the NZDUSD pair. The pair also moved above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the 0.6856 high to 0.6725 low.

     

    It has opened the doors for more gains and the pair could surge towards the 0.6850 level in the short term since it is about to settle above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the 0.6856 high to 0.6725 low.

     

    Overall, the market sentiment is bullish and dips in NZD/USD are likely to find support near 0.6800 and 0.6780.

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  • NZD/USD Forecast – New Zealand Dollar In Downtrend Vs US Dollar

    NZD/USD Forecast – New Zealand Dollar In Downtrend Vs US Dollar

    • – The New Zealand Dollar fell sharply below the 0.6880 and 0.6860 supports against the US Dollar.
    • – There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.6865 on the hourly chart of the NZDUSD pair.
    • – Today in New Zealand, the Trade Balance report for May 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand.
    • – The outcome was above the market forecast of $100M as there was a trade surplus of $294M (MoM).

     

    New Zealand Trade Balance

    Today in New Zealand, the Trade Balance report for May 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand. The market was looking for a trade surplus of $100M in May 2018 compared with the previous month.

     

    The actual result was above the market forecast of $100M as there was a trade surplus of $294M. Looking at the yearly change, there was a trade deficit of $-3.60B, less than the forecast of $-3.70B. The report added that:

     

    Goods exports rose $509 million (10 percent) to $5.4 billion, a new high for total exports in a May month, and the second-highest for any month. The highest was $5.5 billion in December 2017.

     

    The NZD/USD pair was not able to recover after the release and is currently trading in a bearish zone below the 0.6860 support.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis

    The New Zealand Dollar faced a lot of selling interest above the 0.6900 level against the US Dollar. The NZD/USD started a downside move and broke the 0.6880 and 0.6860 support levels to settle below the 100 hourly simple moving average.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis New Zealand Dollar US Dollar

     

    The pair broke the 0.6820 support level and traded as low as 0.6813. At the moment, the pair is correcting higher and is trading towards the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the 0.6899 high to 0.6813 low.

     

    On the upside, there are many hurdles near the 0.6860 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.6865 on the hourly chart of the NZDUSD pair. An intermediate resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the 0.6899 high to 0.6813 low at 0.6856.

     

    Therefore, if the pair corrects higher, it could face sellers near 0.6850 and 0.6860. On the downside, the 0.6820 and 0.6800 support levels hold the key for the next move.

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  • NZD/USD Forecast – New Zealand Dollar Extending Losses Vs US Dollar

    NZD/USD Forecast – New Zealand Dollar Extending Losses Vs US Dollar

    • – The New Zealand Dollar declined sharply and broke the 0.6900 support against the US Dollar.
    • – There was a break below a crucial declining channel support at 0.6850 on the hourly chart of the NZDUSD pair.
    • – Today in New Zealand, the Gross Domestic Product report for Q1 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand.
    • – The outcome was around the market forecast as the GDP grew by 0.5% in Q1 2018.

     

    New Zealand Gross Domestic Product

    Today in New Zealand, the Gross Domestic Product report for Q1 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand. The market was looking for a rise of around 0.5% in the GDP in Q1 2018, compared with the previous quarter.

     

    The actual result was around the market forecast as the GDP grew by 0.5% in Q1 2018. Looking at the yearly change, there was a rise of 2.7% in the GDP in Q1 2018, less than the last reading of 2.9%. The report added that:

     

    The service industries were up 0.6 percent in the March 2018 quarter, down from a 1.1 percent increase in the December 2017 quarter. An increase in manufacturing was offset by a fall in construction activity, resulting in a flat quarter for the goods-producing industries. The primary industries were up 0.6 percent, rebounding slightly from a 2.6 percent fall in the previous quarter.

     

    The NZD/USD pair remained in a downtrend and it seems like the pair could extend losses below the 0.6830 in the near term.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis

    The New Zealand Dollar started a major downside move from well above the 0.7020 level against the US Dollar. The NZD/USD declined, broke a few important supports such as 0.6980 and 0.6900, and also settled below 100 hourly simple moving average.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis New Zealand Dollar US Dollar

     

    The pair even traded below the 0.6850 support and recently formed a low at 0.6831. Moreover, there was a break below a crucial declining channel support at 0.6850 on the hourly chart of the NZDUSD pair.

     

    At the moment, the pair is consolidating losses with an initial resistance is around the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the 0.6916 high to 0.6831 low. Above the 0.6850 level, the pair is likely to face a strong sell zone near 0.6875.

     

    Moreover, the channel upper trend line is at 0.6880 to prevent upsides. On the downside, the pair could break the 0.6830 level to move towards the 0.6800 level.

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  • NZD/USD Forecast – Can New Zealand Dollar Hold This Support Vs US Dollar?

    NZD/USD Forecast – Can New Zealand Dollar Hold This Support Vs US Dollar?

    • – The New Zealand Dollar struggled to move above the 0.6935 resistance and declined against the US Dollar.
    • – There is a major bullish trend line in place with support at 0.6885 on the hourly chart of the NZDUSD pair.
    • – Today in New Zealand, the Retail Sales report for Q1 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand.
    • – The outcome was below the market forecast of +1.0% as sales increased only 0.1% in Q1 2018.

     

    New Zealand Retail Sales

    Today in New Zealand, the Retail Sales report for Q1 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand. The market was looking for a rise of around 1% in sales in Q1 2018, compared with the previous quarter.

     

    The actual result was below the market forecast of +1.0% as sales increased only 0.1% in Q1 2018. It was also well below the last revised reading of +1.4%. Looking at the Retail Sales ex Autos figure, there was a rise of 0.6%, less than the last +1.8%. The report added that:

     

    Electrical and electronic goods had the largest dollar volume increase in this series, up 5.4 percent. Trends for the sales volume in this industry have been rising over the past 10 years; coincidently price changes in this industry have generally fallen over the same period.

     

    The NZD/USD pair declined and is currently trading near a major support area around 0.6880-90, which holds the key for the next move.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis

    The New Zealand Dollar managed to start an upside move from the 0.6855 low against the US Dollar. The NZD/USD pair gained traction, moved above the 0.6880 and 0.6900 resistance levels, and also settled above 100 hourly simple moving average.

     

    However, the pair failed to move above the $0.7935-40 resistance area. Later, it corrected lower and moved below the 50% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the 0.6871 low to 0.6932 high.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis New Zealand Dollar US Dollar

     

    On the downside, there are many supports around the 0.6880 level. There is also a major bullish trend line in place with support at 0.6885 on the hourly chart of the NZDUSD pair. Moreover, the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the 0.6871 low to 0.6932 high is at 0.6894.

     

    Lastly, the 100 hourly SMA is positioned near 0.6890 to act as a strong support. Therefore, as long as the pair is above the 0.6880 support and the 100 hourly SMA, it could bounce back above 0.6900. On the flip side, below 0.6880, the pair might retest 0.6850.

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  • NZD/USD Forecast – New Zealand Dollar In Major Downtrend Vs US Dollar

    NZD/USD Forecast – New Zealand Dollar In Major Downtrend Vs US Dollar

    • – The New Zealand Dollar is under a lot of pressure and is currently below 0.7200 against the US Dollar.
    • – There is a crucial bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.7140 on the hourly chart of the NZDUSD pair.
    • – Today in New Zealand, the Visitor Arrivals report for March 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand.
    • – The outcome was above the market forecast of +12% as the Visitor Arrivals rose 13% in March 2018.

     

    New Zealand Visitor Arrivals

    Today in New Zealand, the Visitor Arrivals report for March 2018 was released by the Statistics New Zealand. The market was looking for a rise of around 12% in Visitor arrivals in March 2018, more than the last 11.4%.

     

    The actual result was above the market forecast of +12% as the Visitor Arrivals rose 13% in March 2018. Looking at the yearly change in March 2018, the visitor arrivals numbered 3.82 million, which was 8% more to 276,200.

     

    However, the NZD/USD pair remains in a major downtrend below the 0.7200 pivot level, and it could decline further.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis

    The New Zealand Dollar started a major downside move from well above 0.7300 against the US Dollar. The NZD/USD pair tumbled, declined below the 0.7300 and 0.7200 supports levels, and is currently trading well below the 100 hourly simple moving average.

     

    The pair traded close to the 0.7100 level and formed a low at 0.7114. At the moment, the pair is consolidating losses above 0.7100 with an initial resistance around the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last drop from the 0.7208 high to 0.7114 low.

     

    NZD/USD Technical Analysis New Zealand Dollar US Dollar

     

    More importantly, there is a crucial bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.7140 on the hourly chart of the NZDUSD pair. The trend line resistance is close to the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the last drop from the 0.7208 high to 0.7114 low.

     

    Therefore, if the pair corrects higher from the current levels, it may face sellers near the 0.7150 level. On the downside, break below 0.7114 could open the doors for a break below 0.7100 in the near term.

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